The Best of 2019: Announcing Superstruct Honors and Awards!

On November 17, 2008 the Institute for the Future announced the winners of the Superstruct Awards in a live webcast. Each winner received a personal fan letter from one of the honorary game masters, including Bruce Sterling, Warren Ellis, Tara Hunt, and Tim O'Reilly.

You can watch the complete one-hour recording of the Superstruct Celebration on Ustream, or scroll down to read the results.

Congratulations to all of the honored Super-Empowered Human Individuals!


Our first Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Tim Kring, the creator of the NBC TV series HEROES.

Fittingly, this is the Most Heroic Award--for the superstructure that best reveals our hidden potential to save the world.

The most heroic award goes to the members of Lifeliners, a superstructure for embedded tech-savvy humanitarians, who would go to countries where the social safety net usually provided by governments has broken down and bootstrap high-tech solutions.

Dear FREELANCE GENERALIST and allies,

This is a remarkably strong Idea with practical applications that could benefit the world immediately. The only problem I can see is the availability of the resources needed to provide to the refugees, prisoners or poverty stricken in the most remote locale.  I applaud this concept and hope that this one day it is a reality the world over.

Your fan,

Tim Kring


Our next Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Jimmy Wales, founder of WIKIPEDIA and WIKIA.

It’s the Most Collaborative Award--for the superstructure that invents the best new way of working together.

The most collaborative award goes to the members of TRUSTNET, a superstructure that would empower people to trust strangers by creating a bottom-up RFID-based system for vastly extending your trusted social network.

Dear Antisocial Hermit and allies,

I loved this idea and the way you fleshed it out!

What I particularly like about it i that you have proposed a structure for finding solutions, rather than proposing the solutions directly.

Once I have my trustnet tag, and once my friends have theirs, we might end up using them in all kinds of innovative ways that none of us can think of today.

Right now we already have unique identifiers (names, well, they aren't perfectly unique but are suitable enough) and various levels of certification of trust - a Harvard degree, a LinkedIn endorsement, etc.

But these are limited and nonstandard.

By moving that kind of thing in the direction of RFID tags, requiring real-world contact to get started, you push things in an interesting new direction.

I have a lot of doubts and questions... and I feel like jumping in to discuss.  But... that's at the heart of what collaboration is about, and you've therefore won the prize for Most Collaborative!

Your fan,

Jimmy Wales


Our next Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Tara Hunt, co-founder of CITIZEN AGENCY and author of THE WHUFFIE FACTOR.

It’s The Most Whuffie Award--for the superstructure that encourages the most positive

Tara has selected three superstructures to receive a Most Whuffie honor.

First up, the bronze most whuffie award goes to the members of Educycle, a superstructure that open sources education by helping anyone, anywhere “freecycle” what they know.

Dear MUDMAMA and allies,

I've been a longtime fan of Freecycle and Educycle is a wonderfully innovative way to make this model into something else meaningful. I believe this ties nicely into the idea of gift economies creating community connection through the exchange of a very valuable favor: the gift of education. What a great way to encourage the spread of social capital and knowledge! The only thing I would push back on is the use of Yahoo!Groups...mainly because, to me, that has been the most challenging part of the Freecycle structure. Otherwise, awesome and incredible Whuffie making!

Your fan,

Tara Hunt

The silver most whuffie award goes to the members of Community Currency, a superstructure that would redefine the global economy by encouraging both macro and micro economies to develop and trade in alternative and locally relevant currencies.

Dear PAMELA CASH and allies,

Redefining currency is what Whuffie is all about - bringing to light the value of social capital and other less 'tangible' forms of currency. I've been a long supporter of the idea of the GPI (Genuine Progress Indicator) replacing the GDP (Gross Domestic Product). What you measure matters In My Opinion. And I think you are bang on here. Much of the direction the world is currently moving in is our focus on money as the only true currency. Bravo to this group for taking to task the worldwide examination of currency, credit and economies. Loads of Whuffie points to you!

Your fan,

Tara Hunt

And finally, the gold most whuffie award goes to the members of THE EXCHANGE, a superstructure that creates new gift economies through social networking.

Dear PlatonicJensen and allies,

What I heart most about this idea is that it taps into the oldest and most essential economy, the gift economy. I agree with the authors that it has been forgotten and buried beneath the everyday. I also give a gold star to the authors for really thinking out this issue: including the oft desire to game these systems. The exchange of favors and the basic needs of people is an incredible way to unite community and ensure collaboration towards a better future. Great use, also, of geo-tagging and mesh networks. HUGE Whuffie points to you!

Your #1 fan,

Tara Hunt 


Our next Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Bruce Sterling, science fiction author and founder of the VIRIDIAN MOVEMENT for sustainable design.

It’s The Viridian Design Award--for the superstructure that creates the most irresistible demand for sustainable, or "green", design.

Mr. Sterling has decided to honor three superstructures in this category, with a gold, a silver, and a bronze Viridian award. He has written a fan letter to the founders of each.

THE BRONZE VIRIDIAN DESIGN AWARD GOES TO the members of Valuing the Environment, an economic plan that would require countries to back their monetary currencies with environmental assets.

Dear XauriEL,

This idea would have been insane eight months ago and now seems like a headspinning breath of pure oxygen. A sci-fi writer's fave.  Write me after you make your first world-saving billion.  I know some African cellphone bankers who would love to talk to you.

Your fan,

Bruce Sterling

THE SILVER VIRIDIAN DESIGN AWARD GOES TO the members of the Open Fab Initiative, a project that would help struggling local economies switch to a system of open source fabrication.

Dear Captain Hazard,

My heart is with you. I would join this fabbing craftsman's guild in a hot second.  I'm keen to kick in some cogent manufacturing ideas from Torino, Italia. When it comes to beating rising seas and black skies into submission, however, fabbing is a somewhat indirect approach.

Your fan,

Bruce Sterling

AND THE GOLD VIRIDIAN DESIGN AWARD GOES TO the members of Terra Perma, a proposal for a massive virtual world that would tracks real-time weather, climate and species data, in order to empower players to coordinate global sustainable food economies.

Dear the99th,

Among a crowd of "grow your own food" notions, this is the scheme that is both the most visionary and the most practical.  Forget the ancient "think global, act local:" Terra Perma is the digital-native glo-cal initiative.  Redeem the planet by becoming inherently planetary. Map the change you want to see.  Way to go, Terra Perma.  I love your name, too.

Your #1 fan, Bruce Sterling


Our next Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Warren Ellis, the acclaimed comic book writer and author of CROOKED LITTLE VEIN.

It’s the STRANGESTRUCT AWARD, for the superstructure that takes the most off-the-wall, unexpected, and left-field approach.

The award goes to the members of Insects4Food, a superstructure that would help solve the "peak protein" dilemma by mass manufacturing insect protein for food.

Dear AZAMPAGNA and allies,

Insects4food is the most blatantly obvious and yet completely mental idea I've seen in Superstruct.  Yet another industrialised process runs counter to... pretty much everything on the general green futurist agenda, if not the current track of production economics in specific.

On the other hand, if these factories are going to be laying empty anyway, we don't want a bunch of hippies turning them into gardens or sex boxes or something.  Why shouldn't they be making healthy food out of bugs that would ordinarily be crawling into toilets or babies' cribs in the crumbling inner cities of our doomed future? If this had been around twenty years ago, I probably wouldn't have Creutzfeld-Jakob today.

In any case, any process that helps to stop food from becoming a conflict flashpoint is a good thing. I'm writing this on a day when the United Nations is telling Zimbabwe that it's essentially run out of food to help keep four million of its citizens alive.  I imagine you see where I'm going there.

Just don't tell people it's made from soy and lentils.  That doesn't always end well.

Also, cockroaches are crunchy.

Your fan,

Warren Ellis


Our next Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Chris DiBona, Open Source program manager for GOOGLE.

It’s The Pandora Award--for the superstructure that is such a brilliant idea, once you hear about it, you can't NOT do it.

Mr. DiBona has selected three superstructures to receive Pandora Honors.

The Bronze Pandora Award goes to the members of The Society for Creative Breaking of Shit, a superstructure designed to harness the talents of griefers and hackers for good.

Dear infrarad and allies,

It is likely that the chaos that will visit the world of 2019's will lead to remarkable innovation. Unfortunately that innovation could be self interested to the point of despotic villainy. One counter would be roving bands of chaoticians which disrupt the actions of the evil.

The trick is, of course, deciding who is to be the target of the well meaning mob? The line between good and evil isn't clear when we're talking about directed griefer mobs …

Your fan,

Chris DiBona

The Silver Pandora Award goes to the members of Farm Golf and More, a superstructure designed to invent sustainable sports and create food-producing athletic grounds.

Dear Empiricus, Phil Jones, and allies

Since in the world of 2019 true golf courses will be in severely short supply, those that will remain may lie fallow and tend to return to native flora. To hasten this or to convert these prepared fields to productive use, a golf club. For those pools that were chlorinated pools of summer fun, now abandoned due to the issues surrounding global health, they would make fantastic raceways for populations of fish. With the chorine removed, and protected from predatory birds with netting or the enclosed nature of many such pools, they would be ideal resources for replenishing demolished aquacultures while the worlds oceans recover.

Your fan,

Chris DiBona

And finally the Gold Pandora Award goes to The Global Village, a superstructure that aims to provide a “third space” for women refugees and to engage them as caretakers for the local community.

Dear copystar,

In the event of a global crisis that limits food (necessitating food pooling) or transportation (limiting work and commercial options) we will likely be faced with a high percentage of women who end up at the short end of the global stick. A matriarchally focused superstructure that allows women to care for each other could help society from backsliding to the days of women as chattel forced into inequality because of the unique demands of motherhood and the interruptive nature of child rearing.

Even today, with women in conflict regions and undeveloped countries being forced into dire circumstances, this is the superstruct that, if adopted today, could make a huge difference for women worldwide.

Your #1 fan,

Chris DiBona


Our next Superstruct honor was created and awarded by Ze Frank, comic genius and creator of THE ZE FRANK SHOW.

It’s The Wonderfully Absurd Award--for the superstructure that does good by celebrating absurdity at its finest.

The Wonderfully Absurd Award goes to Las Vegas Pinata, a superstructure that would take over and transform the city of Las Vegas in order to provide a refuge city for the forced migrants of generation exile.

Dear Fangotang and allies,

I was charged with honoring a "wonderfully absurd" superstructure. In this project I found  something terrifying, almost cruel, and certainly worth honoring.

I go to the Vegas Strip quite often for work, and I will admit that I admire it in a perverse way. It is the only place I have ever been that is haunted by the living. It's true, there are thousands of rooms that no one calls home.

But who would want to live there? This would be an apocalyptic quarantine of the poor to a place designed to be transient.

Visually stunning, but hellishly so.

The blackjack tables could be made into dinner tables, as you say, and the crap's tables transformed into cribs. If the power grid failed (and of course it would) there would be a month or so to wash clothes in the Bellagio fountain before it was a putrid swamp. Without the gambling there would be no industry, no infrastructure to hold back a desert that is only ever at harmony with itself.

Deserts magnify contrast. Toss a coin on the sand and it looks like a totem. Awesome. That is why I think this superstructure deserves an award.

Your fan.

Ze Frank


Our next Superstruct honor was created by Tim O’Reilly, founder and CEO of O'REILLY MEDIA,  and awarded by Tim O’Reilly and Brady Forrest, a member of the O’Reilly Radar team and chief puppetmaster for the amazing Emerging Technologies conference.

It’s the The Greatest Amount of Soul Award, for the superstructure that goes the farthest beyond practical solutions to really lift the human spirit.

The Winner is One-A-Day Introductions, a superstructure designed to build local social safety nets through casual face-to-face interaction.

Dear sockiboo and allies,

This superstructure had the most soul by far.

We know that smiles are contagious. A simple, shared smile can transform a meaningless, bland interaction like receiving change into one that brightens two days (and more as the smiles spread).

But introductions have more potential. Smiles are fleeting, while introductions are a gift of time, an imparting of knowledge and a show of caring. By introducing yourself to a stranger you are extending your reach and building a network. If you make an intro a day for a year some of those people will remain in your life. And during a time of crisis and in the face of superthreats, we all need more people in our lives as part of our social and emergency support system.

We write this as two people who have been practicing One-A-Day Introductions for years and think that it has added to our amount of soul.

Your fans,

Brady and Tim


Next up is a Creator Award, designed and awarded by Jane McGonigal, game director for Superstruct.

It’s the REALITY IS FIXED award, for the superstructure that would most dramatically raise global quality of life with the least amount of resources consumed.

The REALITY IS FIXED award goes to members of THE LONG GAME, a superstructure that would organize a 1000-year-long game to give individuals the chance to be a part of something truly epic, and which would bring society together through infinite play.

Dear Ubik2019,

You are awesome.

I will be contacting you shortly to begin developing The Long Game.

Love, your biggest fan,

Jane McGonigal


The next honor was designed and awarded by Stuart Candy, one of our Ravenous super-guides.

It’s  "Transreality's Most Wanted" Award – for the superstructure that will most help encourage the continuation of what's been started during the six-week Superstruct experiment.

And the award goes to the members of The Museum of Impossible Things, a superstructure that would inspire designers engineers to work on truly breakthrough projects by creating a community space for displaying seemingly impossible things.

Dear Marco Antonio and allies,

Superstructers everywhere need to be inspired, perplexed, and enlightened as they wrestle with the supposedly impossible task of saving the world.  As John Lennon said, "Reality leaves a lot to the imagination": it would be fantastic -- literally --  to see a collection of imaginary artifacts given tangible expression in "reality".  Go do it!

Your fan,

Stuart Candy


The next honor was designed and awarded by RJ Eskow, one of our Quarantine super-guides.

It’s the “Of Course!  The Future Needs a Soul! Award” for the superstructures that most passionately proposed non-technological solutions that are completely necessary for a truly human future. (Note: The prize-giver is supposed to smack his own forehead when reading this award name out loud.)

And the winners is RevsSparker, for his work on the superstructures “Everyday Heroes” and “Dinners for 12” stories, your “Everyday Heroes”.

Dear RevsSparker,

Thank you!  I was struck by the haunting image of you going from home to home in a troubled world, asking “How is it with your soul?”  Great image – Wild West itinerant preacher meets Mad Max.  And for your reminder that superstructs should have “soul,” the same way (for example) that the Grameen Bank does.  Clerics are storytellers.  You wove one that included hope for humanity.  You became the game’s cleric, our “spiritual friend” (as the Theravadan Buddhists say), and our keeper of faith and hope of spirituality – without the need to impose belief (or disbelief) in the Supernatural.

Your fan,

RJ Eskow


The next Superstruct honor is the MindStruct Award, created and awarded by Jane McGonigal and Kiyash Monsef, lead producer/editor at Current TV and the producer of our Superthreat videos. It’s for the superstructure that provides the most delicious and satisfying food for thought.

And the award goes to the members of Quantum Governance, a superstructure that set up a complex thought experiment to re-imagine the workings of democratic government through principles of quantum physics.  Here is your fan letter.

Dear FOUNDER,

Quantum Governance is the most fulfilling thought experiments we’ve witnessed in ages. You took a strange little seed of an idea and you played and played and played with it, until you turned it into a feast, with the help of many other SEHIs.

We will be re-reading the notes you’ve aggregated many times over. It’s the kind of reading that your dream about afterwards, while your brain tries to make sense of the big, new ideas it’s consumed. We love it.

Your fans,

Jane McGonigal  and Kiyash Monsef


Next is the WORLD-BUILDER award, created by Jamais Cascio, going to the player who most impressed him with his or her contribution to the creation of the world of 2019.

Dear HEXAYURT:

The creation of the Democratic Central African Republic, and its struggle to provide an example of sustainable development in a post-collapse region, was one of the best pieces of player world-building in the game. It wasn't the only good example: A R K told another great story throughout. But Hexayurt's DCAR really stood out as offering a new vision of political organization and institutions of the 21st century. It wasn't just interesting, it was plausibly surreal -- my highest compliment for world-building creativity.

Good work, Vinay. Good work.

Your Fan,
Jamais Cascio


The next honors were designed and awarded by Phil Jones, one of our Outlaw Planet super-guides.

The first award is the Imaginative Pragmatism award, for the player who best balances

inventiveness and creativity with  believable and pragmatic

intervention.

The award goes to Empiricus

Dear Empiricus,

I'm giving this award to  Particularly in your superstructures : Catalog of

Feedback failures, Subtractive Architecture, Stop Being in the Wrong

Place all of which at first confused me, then entertained me and

finally made me think "of course!"

Your fan,

Phil Jones

The second award is the Responsiveness Award, for the player who was best learning and adapting their thinking during the game.

The award goes to Platonic Jensen :

Dear Platonic,

I was looking for an example of brilliant adaptation, and think it's hard to get a better example than this : http://www.superstructgame.org/StoryView/687

Your fan

Phil Jones

The third award is the Escape Artist award, for the players who helped take Superstruct beyond the main site.

The award goes to IneffaBelle, for Reconstruct ( http://struct.ning.com/ ) etc. and jorgeguberte, for Superstruct Classifieds ( http://greenblip.info/classifieds/ )

Finally, the Taking it Seriously award goes to Hexayurt Projects :

Hi Vinay, I can't not give you my "taking it seriously" award, for being the player who seems most likely to be doing this stuff for real by 2019. An impressive body of thinking and video production during the game. Very, very cool.

Your fan,

Phil Jones


The next honors were designed and awarded by Justin Pickard, one of our Outlaw Planet super-guides.

First, it's the "OMG, did he actually just do that?, which goes to Infrarad.

Hey infrarad! 

I tried, but I just couldn't let it go.  This award is for that video.  From the poster in the background, right down to the pacing of your statement and the audaciously smug conclusion, for those five minutes, you were the very embodiment of Superstruct.  This is one of those moments that will stay with me, for you - good sir - are all kinds of crazyawesome.  :)

Your fan,

Justin Pickard

Next, it's The Strossian Reveal award, which goes to ARK (Art Replacing Knowledge):

Hey there, ARK. 

I have literally no clue as to the character or nature of the individual(s) behind your alias, but I'm giving you this award in recognition of the whole Republican Bank of Malaysia scandal.  You picked up on a plot point from the initial videos, and - from the initial interview - you ran with it.  And ran a bit further.  And a little bit further than that.  You were flexible enough to deal with other people's contributions, and were responsible for a *coherent* ongoing saga that reminded me of nothing quite as much as a Charles Stross novel.  The 'follow the money' video actually blew my tiny little mind, and I can only hope that I brought the whole thing to a (relatively) satisfying conclusion with Activision-Blizzard's decision to suspend the Starcraft MMORPG.

It's been a pleasure to play alongside you, and - for future reference - you had me from "I'm mad as hell and I'm not going to take it anymore!"  :D

Your fan,

Justin Pickard


The next honor is presented by Joshua Judkins, one of our Ravenous SuperGuides. It's the Dynamic Opposition Award--for the SEHI who most productively challenged other SEHI's ideas.

The winner is Ruud Dirven.

Dear Ruud Driven,

With a project like Superstruct we're naturally thankful to those who encourage others, but I would also like to acknowledge the role of antagonists. The way that Ruud passionately rallied against certain ideas and solutions (culminating in a 21-page in-depth pdf) and the particularly dark picture he painted of 2019 prompted other SEHIs to not only stop and question their own ideas, but also debate the issues at hand with even more passion and consideration. For your inspiration through opposition, Ruud, I salute you.

Your fan,

Josh Judkins


The next awards are presented by Laura Hall, one of our quarantine superguides.

First up, it's "The Thomas Pynchon" award for the most inventive underground system. The award goe to PonyXpress's "The New Pony Express".

Dear PonyXpress,

The New Pony Express reminds me of the W.A.S.T.E. system from Thomas Pynchon's "The Crying of Lot 49" - a hand-delivered, community-sourced, person-to-person mail system, it avoids censorship, government interference and griefing by putting the travel in the hands of the people who are writing it. I am really excited to put this into practice in real-life and am looking forward to working on it  beyond the span of the official game period.

Your fan,

Laura Hall

Next, it's the "Down the Rabbit Hole" award, for the most engaging introduction to the game. The award goes to  theweatherproject's "2019 Weather Project".

Dear theweatherproject,

The 2019 Weather Project is the first superstructure I encountered, because the people behind it sent a weather sample jar to the Institute For The Future way before the game even started. I was really intrigued by the idea of capturing a moment in time and space in a jar, then collecting and indexing them. Does the jar contain a ReDS-contaminated cough? A bio-engineered speck of pollen? Some new toxic pollutant? Or the last remnants of clean rural air? A beautiful idea, beautifully executed.

Your fan,

Laura Hall


And finally... THE SEHI 19 AWARDS are for the SEHIs who most embodied the modus operandi of the Super-Empowered Human Individual. These are SEHIs who turned the superstruct community is a true, working engine of ideas and who made it possible for all of us to imagine a better future.

  • jorgeguberte

  • IneffaBelle

  • PlatonicJensen

  • infrarad

  • mudmama

  • PonyXpress

  • spinnerin

  • Tony Fisk

  • rtgarden2019

  • Elizabeth Merritt

  • 2019Beverly

  • ubik2019

  • PlaNetweaver

  • Prophessor Bedlam

  • Suzanne

  • Foundation

  • MarcoAntonio

  • Empiricus

  • copystar

  • Hexayurt Project

Dear SEHI ’19,

If we wake up in the real 2019, and the world is a better place than the chaotic future imagined by this Superstruct experiment, you will have helped make that better world possible.

Your fans and collaborators,

The Superstruct Creators and the Superthreat Guides

Half-Way to Saving the World...

Audrey Chen
Justice for Audrey Originally uploaded by jfpickard.

We're halfway through the Superstruct experiment. Want to catch up on the story so far? Here's the latest news and gossip from 2019. As you can see, there's a lot going on in our future. But don't let it intimidate you. If you haven't participated yet, it only takes 5 minutes to make your first contribution to the future. Please register and complete your survival profile now -- we need your help to win the game by November 17!

QUARANTINE

The future's changing us faster than we're changing the future. … In response to the World Health Organization’s suggested limits on gatherings of more than twelve people, Assembly12 is leading other superstructures in creating voluntary systems for crowd reduction. And the New Modesty is coming into fashion, thanks in part to the superstructure of the same name. Covered heads, covered hands, covered faces ... all can save lives. But fashion is one thing and violence is another. As the Administrator for Zone M17 reports, Taliban-like attacks are taking place in the street on men and women (mostly women) who are not "modestly" dressed…. Take the second Quarantine tour.

Other breaking Quarantine news:

Governments around the world step up quarantines, despite promises: Injunctions filed in US, UK, and Mexico

WHO Eyes Superstruct: World Health Organization seeks cooperation, ideas

Biowarfare Claims in Pakistan-India Tensions: Guerilla groups use asymptomatic carriers as "Bio-Bombs"

ReDS Collaboratory Initiative Launched: Global open source project begins developing ReDS treatment

Businesses Closed in San Diego: The San Diego city council has issued a closure order for most businesses in fight against ReDS

Mybu4 Virus Spreads: The anti-ReDS bacteriophage Mybu4 has been found in the drinking water of London, Rio

 

RAVENOUS

We're just past week two of the global Superstruct push, and SEHIs are attacking the problems of food-supply from every angle -- from Vat-grown Protein to Stone Soup. As solutions continue to arise, however, so do the challenges. We're getting reports of continued battles on the home front for personal food security -- and SEHIs in California are advised to guard against robotic food collectors, a.k.a. RFCs, raiding community gardens. Such thefts certainly aren't a problem for producers only, increasing reports of grocery store robbery have surfaced as food prices rise…. Take the second Ravenous tour.

Other breaking Ravenous news:

Fears of food tampering intensify as more poisoned food discovered: European Justice Ministry suspects coordinated attacks

US Wheat Crop Shows Signs of Blight Infection: A wheat blight Ug99 outbreak has been confirmed in the US harvest for the first time

Food Riots Spread: Violence in France over rumored food supply problems have spread, despite government pleas

UN Seeks Food Strategies: United Nations looks for innovative approaches to confronting food collapse.

75% of New Trees Must Be Fruit-Bearing: Washington DC adopts local-food ordinance to replace ornamental trees

Transgenic Contamination Throws Winter Wheat Harvest into Question: Source and impact of the genetic modifications are as yet unknown

 

POWER STRUGGLE

The worrying development this week has been the arrest of GEAS president Dr. Audrey Chen and her team by the US Department of Justice. The one organisation that's actually doing something concrete, organised and constructive about facing up to the challenges of our times and this happens. It seems the proverbial ostrich not only has its head in the sand - it's also blindly kicking out at anyone who might want to take a look around...There's all sorts of speculation as to the reasons behind all this, but for now the most important thing we can all do is show our support for Dr. Chen. Meanwhile, a brilliant Superstructure has just been launched by lehall and some co-conspirators - if you feel that your own Superstructure has stalled, or you're not sure how to move it forward and contribute to a better future then get in touch with the Mission Makers…. Take the second Power Struggle Tour.

Other breaking Power Struggle news:

Survey shows that governments, corporations not trusted as energy information  resources: May make public more susceptible to energy scams

Sea Power Piracy: Portuguese wave power system hijacked

Solar is Civil Defense: Solar Power advocates offer demonstrations, advice

Experts Warn of "Angry" Threat: So-called "super-empowered angry individuals" on the rise, threatening energy networks.

Oil-Eating Microbes Found in Alaska: Level of disruption of reserves unknown

TransAfrica Power Backbone Begun: Individuals help generate power from Cairo to Pretoria

OUTLAW PLANET

in the last update, we asked you whether noble ends could ever justify morally questionable ways of getting there. 20 days in, and we're starting to settle on an answer. We might not like what the outlaws mean for our day-to-day existence. But that isn't something that's stopping us from using their methods in the name of a greater good. Looking at superstructures, The Society for the Creative Breaking of Shit ('strategic griefing of the unacceptable') has been at the head of this shift. And on a more personal level - some SEHIs have been re-evaluating their choice of hat.... Take the second Outlaw Planet tour.

Other breaking Outlaw Planet news:

GEAS Leadership arrested, Director Audrey Chen remains in custody: US Justice Officials call the GEAS report "a brazen act of psychological terrorism"

Cal-Threat Hacked: The California Superthreat Warning Network has been hacked, with no resolution in sight.

Attacks on GEAS: GEAS personnel and volunteers are being targeted, and all Superstructers should be careful.

Internet Superpowers Seek Accord: Major Internet companies look for cooperation against griefing.

Micro-"Spore" Spy Swarms Pose Security, Health Risk: Tiny drones cause big problems by capturing and transmitting nib pen movement

"Countdown" Malware Mystery Deepens: Virus surfaces again in networked refrigerators, stereos, AR headsets, and more

 

GENERATION EXILE

The superthreats are converging for climate refugees. Displaced persons who have become infected with the ReDS virus are facing yet another danger, of the human variety. In Nevada, roving gangs have been reported abducting ReDS victims from their homes and executing them. And, as if that wasn't bad enough, GEAS volunteer noplacelikehome tells a story of being abducted by a terrorist group who is trying to accelerate the Voluntary Extinction Movement by making people believe that they are infected with ReDS! Meanwhile The Democratic Central African Republic, or DCAR, has recruited a group of 16 million African refugees from various warring countries who "lost the will to continue fighting but will not allow each other to declare victory"... Take the second Generation Exile tour.

Other breaking Generation Exile news:

Refugees now being used as unconventional weapons, according to UN: Mass migration seen as a form of warfare

"Can't Go Home Again": Central American returnees meet resentment, fear.

Kashmir Conflict Pushes Migration: Rising tensions along the India-Pakistan border have increased migration from the two nations.

Australian Government Fights Threats: Canberra looks to Superstruct for ideas, advice.

Nomads in the American Desert: Burning Man organizers plan for a new refugee promised land

New Orleans Diaspora Launches Virtual Museum: A "reunificaton portal" seeks to provide history, community, and connection


GLOBAL EXTINCTION AWARENESS SYSTEM

Breaking news and urgent alerts from GEAS:

GEAS Superstructing Tips from Senior Participation Architects: IFTF's director of game R & D gives a "how to play" Superstruct update -- plus GEAS issues the 14K point challenge!

Participation Bandwidth Strained! GEAS recommends a Top 3 Superstructure strategy: Senior participation architects at GEAS advise SEHIs to consolidate and declare their top 3 superstructures.

“Grassroots is not enough – critical failure looming”: Supercomputer predicts bottom-up efforts will lose momentum by late 2020

Speaking of Getting Back to Work...

Jane McGonigal, the Institute for the Future's director of game R&D, offers more useful tips on building superstructures:

Audrey Released!

The US government has released Audrey Chen, apparently on the direct order of the President.

Moreover, the Attorney General offered a public apology for the arrest. There's the usual bits about "miscommunication" and "misunderstanding," but the important part came at the end:

It may be understandable for a patient to lash out at the doctor telling him that he's dying, but that doesn't make it right. Especially when, as Dr. Chen has observed, the death is neither inevitable nor required. Our reaction -- my reaction -- to the GEAS report emerged from the anger I feel that we've come to this point.

The President and I have had long discussions over the past week about how we should have responded to the report. You should know that Dr. Chen joined our discussions several times. We met this morning, in fact, along with the full cabinet.

I don't think I'm giving away any secrets by saying that the President plans to make a statement very soon.

Dr. Chen, on behalf of the United States government, and from my own heart, please accept our apologies.

This wouldn't have happened without you. Over the last week, hundreds of thousands of people around the world protested Audrey's arrest. We posted some of the news shots here at the 21st Century Ideas blog this weekend. The Department of Justice reported receiving something like five million emailed messages demanding Audrey's release in the first day or two of the week, and the barrage never let up.

Audrey just came in and spoke to us. She looks tired, but there's a resolve in her eyes that gives us all a great deal of hope. We have a lot of work left to do, but there's every sign that our efforts will pay off.

Back to work, everyone.

The World Reacts

Audreychicago

Chicago

Audreynewyork

New York

Audreylondon

London

Audreydehli

Dehli

The world says release Audrey.

Audrey Still Not Released; More Details

We're all still pretty shaken here at GEAS about what happened this last weekend. We haven't spoken to Audrey directly, but our lawyers have: She's healthy, in reasonably good spirits, and is not being mistreated. We're not quite sure where she's being held -- apparently, they're moving her around a bit, as they deal with who has actual authority over this situation. That's the biggest stumbling block to getting her out, apparently.

Here's what we know: Apparently, someone at Homeland Security decided that the open discussion of major global risks was in some way an encouragement of those risks; moreover, the rapid surge of activity on the Superstruct site was read as some kind of mass action, and that's always a threat, right?

(sigh)

The American government is in total disarray because of the election hack, and it's clear that somebody decided that getting everyone excited about a "psychological terrorist" would draw attention away from the absolute disaster this political situation has become. But just blaming this on Washington, DC, would be too easy. The fact is, no major national government has stepped forward to condemn the arrest, and a few of the major international news sources have picked up the "psychological terror" language.

Here's what I think (and this is my analysis, not a GEAS statement): the combination of the Human Extinction Report and the rapid rise of Superstruct -- we have over 400 superstructure designs as of this posting -- has posed a real challenge to the legitimacy of political and social decision-making, globally. We, as a civilization, have screwed up, and the people who have been in charge haven't been able (or, in many cases, willing) to steer us away from screwing up. But we, as a civilization, have the tools and ideas necessary to rectify this crisis -- and we can do so without requiring the participation of those who led us astray.

But that poses a dilemma. We may be able to be successful without the participation of governments... but it's going to be hard. We'd be fighting against our fellow citizens as well as the superthreats. Audrey's arrest is an example of that.

We'll do much better if we can figure out how to integrate our superstruct efforts with more traditional models of civil society and governance. That stands for corporations and markets, too. The value of something like the superstruct project is that is serves as a demonstration of the viability, power, and sheer innovation of new models of cooperation and creation. We would all be much better served if that kind of innovation could be more widely embraced, rather than be seen simply as yet another competitor to traditional models of power.

Audrey Chen will be released. But we have to keep looking ahead, keep trying to build our way out of the superthreats, and not get caught up in the tangled resentments of the past.

Arrests at GEAS

On Friday, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation arrested the entire top leadership of GEAS. By Saturday, all but Audrey Chen had been released. The head of the FBI was quoted by FoxNN as saying that the GEAS report represented a form of "psychological terrorism."

Our lawyers tell us that Audrey will be released soon, and that the Department of Justice doesn't have a case -- but this is a sign of the stress that governments are under due to both the release of the GEAS report, and a world seemingly spinning out of control.

Extinction

What does it mean for the human species to go extinct?

We've come close to extinction before. About 75,000 years ago, a massive "supervolcano" -- at what's now Indonesia's Lake Toba -- erupted with enough power to drive the global climate into an ice age. Studies of our genetic history show pretty conclusively that the human population was driven down to about a thousand families. All of us come from a group of survivors numbering no more than a small town.

In the last GEAS note, I described the trajectory that the human population would follow if we ignore the superthreats. To be clear, I believe (and the preliminary data from the Worldrun sims backs me up) that we're already moving away from the most dire possible outcomes, and stand a very good chance of pushing the survival horizon back quite a ways. But, for a moment, let's imagine that we don't succeed, that we let the superthreats (and our own despair) win.

Extinction is an ugly word. It conjures up images of species that once thrived, but now exist solely as stuffed remains in a museum corner. When we talk about human extinction, then, it's not hard to imagine that the stuffed remains belong to us.

The reality is a bit more complex. As I noted previously, the extinction date of 2042 reflects not a total elimination of the population by then, but the beginning of an accelerating cascade failure of the species. War, famine, disease knock the population down by two-thirds in five years, then by another two-thirds in the next ten. We're down to a million people, worldwide, by the end of the century.

But that's not extinct, right?

It is, as far as human civilization is concerned. A million people, in pockets around the world, with no remaining meaningful infrastructure, still facing the leftover crises from the collapse, can not be considered a viable remnant of humankind. Disease, lack of resources, environmental degradation, and -- above all -- utter despair will, under all models we've tried, lead to a steady reduction of the remaining population. The simulations aren't nearly as precise looking so far out, but our best guess is that the human species disappears sometime between 2150 and 2300.

Assuming we do nothing today.

But that assumption no longer applies. We have begun to act, and we have begun to make meaningful changes. The momentum has shifted.

Here is my promise: This will be my last GEAS note about predictions of extinction or collapse. From now one, we start looking at the tools of resilience and success.

Understanding Superthreats

With both a whimper and a bang.

One of the most common questions GEAS gets from the press is just how this particular set of problems (the "superthreats") could possibly pose an extinction risk to the human species. Of the five, only the Quarantine threat has a clear potential to reduce human population significantly, but even there, extinction seems highly unlikely. And the connection between Generation Exile or Power Struggle and extinction is, for many observers, elusive at best.

I've found that the best response is with an analogy. Most of us have, at some time in our lives, played one of those tower games where you remove one piece from a stack of blocks, then the other player removes one, etc., until it collapses. Often, the final piece removed isn't in an obviously critical place -- players aren't trying to knock the tower over. As a result, the collapse of the tower doesn't come from the removal of a key piece, but by small vibrations of the table (or even motion of the air) overwhelming the remaining structural stability of the tower. But the only reason such a small vibration could bring the structure down is that enough individually sub-critical components have been removed. No one block caused the collapse; it was the combined loss that made it possible.

So it is with the Superthreats. As a civilization, we have, for the past century at least, been pulling blocks out from our tower, even as we continue to pile bricks on the top. So far, although the stack of blocks has been occasionally shaky, it's remained standing. With the superthreats, however, the continued structural stability of this tower is imperiled by the simultaneous loss of individually non-critical pieces. The tower becomes vulnerable to the slightest motion.

The slightest motion, in our case, is the emergence of a major shock, such as a multi-state war, a rapidly-spreading pandemic (on top of ReDS), a significant environmental disaster, a minor asteroid impact, a bioterror event, and so on. Shocks that, under other conditions, would stress the international community greatly (financially, politically, technologically, spiritually), but not fatally. Under the Superthreat conditions, however, the civil structures that would allow us to cope are so weakened that they collapse, and disease, starvation, broken social networks, broken infrastructure, and resource conflicts spiral out of control.

Most WorldRun simulations show the human population going from 7 billion to 1.5 billion in the course of five years, once collapse sets in, then down to under 500 million in another ten years. The best-case scenarios, assuming that we do nothing to alleviate the superthreats, leave about 20 million people alive, worldwide, by 2070, and under a million by 2100.

But those scenarios no longer apply. We have begun to act. The survival horizon is extending. I am convinced that we can -- we will -- prevail, and human civilization will continue.

Rethinking the Survival Horizon

As we act, we learn.

The Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle -- a basic concept from quantum physics -- tells us, in effect, that the act of measuring the location and motion of a particle changes those very characteristics.

The same is true with the future.

The very act of publishing the GEAS report changed the future. We tried to account for that, a bit at least, in some of our later simulation runs, but the funny thing was that some of the models had the report bringing about a functional extinction event much sooner than 2042, and some had the report pushing out the survival horizon considerably. In the end, we realized that we needed to learn more about how people would actually respond before we could understand what we ourselves had done.

I have to say, the first few days after the report went out scared us. Riots around the world, a massive jump in suicides, and nearly three hundred death threats against Audrey Chen in the first 12 hours. Some of us running quick & dirty versions of the WorldRun sim started to get results showing a survival horizon of 2030.

But Superstruct changed all of that.

It gave immediate focus to the incipient efforts to deal with the crisis. It offered us all a framework for creative resilience. The survival horizon dates in our quick sims bounced back up, and we started to feed the Superstruct responses into our main WorldRun model.

The results were outrageously positive. Within the first 24 hours, we saw a push on the global survival horizon of eight years, with just a few superstructures in play. But we started to look closely at our data, and found an error.

Fixing the error sobers us up a bit -- it cuts the immediate impact of superstructure projects to 10% of the initial rating. Instead of boosting our survival horizon by eight years in the first day, we've really pushed it by about seven months. We're considering resetting the impact calculations for Super-Empowered Hopeful Individuals accordingly: 1000 points give us a year, up from 100 points.

The thing is, seven months in less than a day is still outrageously good, and gives us at GEAS the first real sense of hope we've had in awhile. We really can do this. We really can break through these crises, and avoid extinction.

It's just going to take a bit more work than we initially thought.